IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017

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Flex
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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017

Post by Flex » 28 Sep 2017, 10:06am

Second place is just King Loser. C'mon picks, keep on dying!
"I live inside my own heart, Matt Damon." - Prince

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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017

Post by Kory » 28 Sep 2017, 1:26pm

Flex wrote:
28 Sep 2017, 10:06am
Second place is just King Loser. C'mon picks, keep on dying!
I'm hoping to sweep the board in December.
Inder:
Absolutely. Here's another collection of words:

Table salt (spoon hinge)
Octopus (Ukraine)
St. Petersburg (arms)
Ginger beer (cauliflower)
Pat Sajak (PSak)
Lamp post (self evident)
Florida Timeshare (ditto)
Heraclitus (EMI)
Developers (Developers Developers)
Boogie With Your Children

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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017

Post by revbob » 01 Oct 2017, 9:41am

Monty Hall picked the wrong door and dies at 96.

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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017

Post by Dr. Medulla » 01 Oct 2017, 9:55am

revbob wrote:
01 Oct 2017, 9:41am
Monty Hall picked the wrong door and dies at 96.
Wait till he finds out that god is a vengeful goat.
Walrus birth doesn't make good breakfast conversation!

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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017

Post by Wolter » 01 Oct 2017, 10:31am

Dr. Medulla wrote:
01 Oct 2017, 9:55am
revbob wrote:
01 Oct 2017, 9:41am
Monty Hall picked the wrong door and dies at 96.
Wait till he finds out that god is a vengeful goat.
If you had bet me $1,000 that he was still alive, I'd have been down $1,000.
"There's something more honest, he believed, about traditional methods of mass starvation, labour camps, and machine gunning millions to death. Stalin was a vinyl guy who sneered at Truman converting everything to compact disc." - Thomas Jefferson

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Dr. Medulla
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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017

Post by Dr. Medulla » 01 Oct 2017, 10:42am

Wolter wrote:
01 Oct 2017, 10:31am
Dr. Medulla wrote:
01 Oct 2017, 9:55am
revbob wrote:
01 Oct 2017, 9:41am
Monty Hall picked the wrong door and dies at 96.
Wait till he finds out that god is a vengeful goat.
If you had bet me $1,000 that he was still alive, I'd have been down $1,000.
Same. His death did get me to revisit The Monty Hall Problem. Years ago, it took me a long time to truly understand why the counter-intuitive answer is the correct one, but when I looked at the whole thing again this morning, right away I gravitated back to the more obvious and wrong solution. Funny how seductive false logic can be, even when you know that it's false.
Walrus birth doesn't make good breakfast conversation!

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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017

Post by JennyB » 02 Oct 2017, 12:18pm

Dr. Medulla wrote:
01 Oct 2017, 10:42am
Wolter wrote:
01 Oct 2017, 10:31am
Dr. Medulla wrote:
01 Oct 2017, 9:55am
revbob wrote:
01 Oct 2017, 9:41am
Monty Hall picked the wrong door and dies at 96.
Wait till he finds out that god is a vengeful goat.
If you had bet me $1,000 that he was still alive, I'd have been down $1,000.
Same. His death did get me to revisit The Monty Hall Problem. Years ago, it took me a long time to truly understand why the counter-intuitive answer is the correct one, but when I looked at the whole thing again this morning, right away I gravitated back to the more obvious and wrong solution. Funny how seductive false logic can be, even when you know that it's false.
Just so I don't have to actually look this up - it's better to choose the new door, right?
Got a Rake? Sure!

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Dr. Medulla
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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017

Post by Dr. Medulla » 02 Oct 2017, 12:29pm

JennyB wrote:
02 Oct 2017, 12:18pm
Dr. Medulla wrote:
01 Oct 2017, 10:42am
Wolter wrote:
01 Oct 2017, 10:31am
Dr. Medulla wrote:
01 Oct 2017, 9:55am
revbob wrote:
01 Oct 2017, 9:41am
Monty Hall picked the wrong door and dies at 96.
Wait till he finds out that god is a vengeful goat.
If you had bet me $1,000 that he was still alive, I'd have been down $1,000.
Same. His death did get me to revisit The Monty Hall Problem. Years ago, it took me a long time to truly understand why the counter-intuitive answer is the correct one, but when I looked at the whole thing again this morning, right away I gravitated back to the more obvious and wrong solution. Funny how seductive false logic can be, even when you know that it's false.
Just so I don't have to actually look this up - it's better to choose the new door, right?
Right. It has to do understanding that Monty knows what's behind all the doors and not being seduced by the belief that we got it right the first time. The best of illustrating this is to think of it as if there were 100 doors and Monty reveals 98 false doors, leaving your pick and one other. What is more likely, that you picked the right one out of 100 or that Monty eliminated all but the winning door? It really is a bastard of a mindfuck that goes against our intuitive sense of probabilities, but the math is right.
Walrus birth doesn't make good breakfast conversation!

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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017

Post by JennyB » 02 Oct 2017, 12:31pm

Dr. Medulla wrote:
02 Oct 2017, 12:29pm
JennyB wrote:
02 Oct 2017, 12:18pm
Dr. Medulla wrote:
01 Oct 2017, 10:42am
Wolter wrote:
01 Oct 2017, 10:31am
Dr. Medulla wrote:
01 Oct 2017, 9:55am


Wait till he finds out that god is a vengeful goat.
If you had bet me $1,000 that he was still alive, I'd have been down $1,000.
Same. His death did get me to revisit The Monty Hall Problem. Years ago, it took me a long time to truly understand why the counter-intuitive answer is the correct one, but when I looked at the whole thing again this morning, right away I gravitated back to the more obvious and wrong solution. Funny how seductive false logic can be, even when you know that it's false.
Just so I don't have to actually look this up - it's better to choose the new door, right?
Right. It has to do understanding that Monty knows what's behind all the doors and not being seduced by the belief that we got it right the first time. The best of illustrating this is to think of it as if there were 100 doors and Monty reveals 98 false doors, leaving your pick and one other. What is more likely, that you picked the right one out of 100 or that Monty eliminated all but the winning door? It really is a bastard of a mindfuck that goes against our intuitive sense of probabilities, but the math is right.
Monty Hall was one magnificent bastard.
Got a Rake? Sure!

IMCT: Inane Middle-Class Twats - Dr. M

Don't talk shop.

Dr. Medulla
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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017

Post by Dr. Medulla » 02 Oct 2017, 12:33pm

JennyB wrote:
02 Oct 2017, 12:31pm
Dr. Medulla wrote:
02 Oct 2017, 12:29pm
JennyB wrote:
02 Oct 2017, 12:18pm
Dr. Medulla wrote:
01 Oct 2017, 10:42am
Wolter wrote:
01 Oct 2017, 10:31am


If you had bet me $1,000 that he was still alive, I'd have been down $1,000.
Same. His death did get me to revisit The Monty Hall Problem. Years ago, it took me a long time to truly understand why the counter-intuitive answer is the correct one, but when I looked at the whole thing again this morning, right away I gravitated back to the more obvious and wrong solution. Funny how seductive false logic can be, even when you know that it's false.
Just so I don't have to actually look this up - it's better to choose the new door, right?
Right. It has to do understanding that Monty knows what's behind all the doors and not being seduced by the belief that we got it right the first time. The best of illustrating this is to think of it as if there were 100 doors and Monty reveals 98 false doors, leaving your pick and one other. What is more likely, that you picked the right one out of 100 or that Monty eliminated all but the winning door? It really is a bastard of a mindfuck that goes against our intuitive sense of probabilities, but the math is right.
Monty Hall was one magnificent bastard.
70 year marriage, too. She died four months before him.
Walrus birth doesn't make good breakfast conversation!

JennyB
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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017

Post by JennyB » 02 Oct 2017, 12:36pm

Dr. Medulla wrote:
02 Oct 2017, 12:33pm
JennyB wrote:
02 Oct 2017, 12:31pm
Dr. Medulla wrote:
02 Oct 2017, 12:29pm
JennyB wrote:
02 Oct 2017, 12:18pm
Dr. Medulla wrote:
01 Oct 2017, 10:42am


Same. His death did get me to revisit The Monty Hall Problem. Years ago, it took me a long time to truly understand why the counter-intuitive answer is the correct one, but when I looked at the whole thing again this morning, right away I gravitated back to the more obvious and wrong solution. Funny how seductive false logic can be, even when you know that it's false.
Just so I don't have to actually look this up - it's better to choose the new door, right?
Right. It has to do understanding that Monty knows what's behind all the doors and not being seduced by the belief that we got it right the first time. The best of illustrating this is to think of it as if there were 100 doors and Monty reveals 98 false doors, leaving your pick and one other. What is more likely, that you picked the right one out of 100 or that Monty eliminated all but the winning door? It really is a bastard of a mindfuck that goes against our intuitive sense of probabilities, but the math is right.
Monty Hall was one magnificent bastard.
70 year marriage, too. She died four months before him.
Awww...that's really sweet.
Got a Rake? Sure!

IMCT: Inane Middle-Class Twats - Dr. M

Don't talk shop.

BostonBeaneater
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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017

Post by BostonBeaneater » 02 Oct 2017, 3:38pm

Tom Petty is in trouble, massive heart attack. This is a bad day all about.
Image

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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017

Post by BostonBeaneater » 02 Oct 2017, 4:13pm

BostonBeaneater wrote:
02 Oct 2017, 3:38pm
Tom Petty is in trouble, massive heart attack. This is a bad day all about.

He’s gone.


Image
Image

Rat Patrol
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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017

Post by Rat Patrol » 02 Oct 2017, 4:14pm

BostonBeaneater wrote:
02 Oct 2017, 3:38pm
Tom Petty is in trouble, massive heart attack. This is a bad day all about.
It's official: he backed down.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/tom-petty- ... ead-at-66/

:meh:
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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017

Post by JennyB » 02 Oct 2017, 4:18pm

That's really sad. I wasn't a huge fan, but I liked him.
Got a Rake? Sure!

IMCT: Inane Middle-Class Twats - Dr. M

Don't talk shop.

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