The Election Thread To Talk About The Election

tepista · Post by **tepista** » 07 Nov 2012, 5:43pm

Dr. Medulla wrote:Locally owned student anger: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/0 ... 88176.html

weakest riot ever

Dr. Medulla · Post by **Dr. Medulla** » 07 Nov 2012, 5:44pm

tepista · Post by **tepista** » 07 Nov 2012, 5:46pm

Dr. Medulla wrote:

He's a SABR, I'm guessing?

Dr. Medulla · Post by **Dr. Medulla** » 07 Nov 2012, 5:49pm

tepista wrote:
Dr. Medulla wrote:

He's a SABR, I'm guessing?

Actually, yeah. He invented PECOTA about ten years ago, a system for predicting player and team performances (he predicted that the White Sox would go 72-90 in 2007, which everyone laughed at; guess what their record was?). In 2008 he moved on to poll analysis and was near-perfect in the election, and really good in 2010. He called all 50 states correctly this year, but we're still waiting on finally tallies for how well he did on the popular vote.

tepista · Post by **tepista** » 07 Nov 2012, 5:57pm

Dr. Medulla wrote:
tepista wrote:
Dr. Medulla wrote:

He's a SABR, I'm guessing?
Actually, yeah. He invented PECOTA about ten years ago, a system for predicting player and team performances (he predicted that the White Sox would go 72-90 in 2007, which everyone laughed at; guess what their record was?). In 2008 he moved on to poll analysis and was near-perfect in the election, and really good in 2010. He called all 50 states correctly this year, but we're still waiting on finally tallies for how well he did on the popular vote.

Yeah, I got a crash course in his political career a few days ago. When he went on Colbert he put my mind at ease. Didn't know about his baseball deal.

Dr. Medulla · Post by **Dr. Medulla** » 07 Nov 2012, 6:14pm

tepista wrote:
Dr. Medulla wrote:
tepista wrote:
Dr. Medulla wrote:

He's a SABR, I'm guessing?
Actually, yeah. He invented PECOTA about ten years ago, a system for predicting player and team performances (he predicted that the White Sox would go 72-90 in 2007, which everyone laughed at; guess what their record was?). In 2008 he moved on to poll analysis and was near-perfect in the election, and really good in 2010. He called all 50 states correctly this year, but we're still waiting on finally tallies for how well he did on the popular vote.
Yeah, I got a crash course in his political career a few days ago. When he went on Colbert he put my mind at ease. Didn't know about his baseball deal.

It's notable that the political pundits who mocked him the past several weeks sounded a lot like the same baseball writers who mocked him from around 2002 to 2007. As I mentioned upthread, the one thing I'm really happy about this election was validation of a Math Tits, Warrior Class.

Rat Patrol · Post by **Rat Patrol** » 07 Nov 2012, 6:22pm

Dr. Medulla wrote:As I mentioned upthread, the one thing I'm really happy about this election was validation of a Math Tits, Warrior Class.

That they're effeminate gaywads?

JennyB · Post by **JennyB** » 07 Nov 2012, 6:46pm

Nate Silver went to undergrad right here in Moranjortsville at Washington University. The same place where I went to grad school. Do you guys want to touch me?

ETA: OK, maybe for some of his undergrad?

Dr. Medulla · Post by **Dr. Medulla** » 07 Nov 2012, 9:59pm

JennyB wrote:Nate Silver went to undergrad right here in Moranjortsville at Washington University. The same place where I went to grad school. Do you guys want to touch me?

ETA: OK, maybe for some of his undergrad?

He stumbled upon the need for better analysis after being surrounded by morans.

TeddyB Not Logged In · Post by **TeddyB Not Logged In** » 08 Nov 2012, 2:46am

Nate had the popular vote at 2.5 for Obama. Looking very close to that. I've read his stuff from day one. Then again, I started reading Bill James over 25 years ago.

CorwoodRep · Post by **CorwoodRep** » 08 Nov 2012, 4:00am

Moneyball 2: Nate Silver.

Dr. Medulla · Post by **Dr. Medulla** » 08 Nov 2012, 12:27pm

Silver called the popular vote to be 50.8 to 48.3; the current figures are 50.4 to 48. So he got the separation pretty much right, too (but missed .9% going to other parties).

tepista · Post by **tepista** » 08 Nov 2012, 5:10pm

Oh yeah, I just found this Turbonegro parody me and monk.ass. came up with 4 years ago.

Dr. Medulla · Post by **Dr. Medulla** » 08 Nov 2012, 6:54pm

The Onion keeps on rolling: http://www.theonion.com/articles/heavil ... ora,30309/

Dr. Medulla · Post by **Dr. Medulla** » 08 Nov 2012, 10:05pm

If Music Could Talk

The Election Thread To Talk About The Election

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