IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017
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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017
Second place is just King Loser. C'mon picks, keep on dying!
Wiggle, wiggle, wiggle like a bowl of soup
Wiggle, wiggle, wiggle like a rolling hoop
Wiggle, wiggle, wiggle like a ton of lead
Wiggle - you can raise the dead
Pex Lives!
Wiggle, wiggle, wiggle like a rolling hoop
Wiggle, wiggle, wiggle like a ton of lead
Wiggle - you can raise the dead
Pex Lives!
Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017
I'm hoping to sweep the board in December.
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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017
Monty Hall picked the wrong door and dies at 96.
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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017
Wait till he finds out that god is a vengeful goat.
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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017
If you had bet me $1,000 that he was still alive, I'd have been down $1,000.
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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017
Same. His death did get me to revisit The Monty Hall Problem. Years ago, it took me a long time to truly understand why the counter-intuitive answer is the correct one, but when I looked at the whole thing again this morning, right away I gravitated back to the more obvious and wrong solution. Funny how seductive false logic can be, even when you know that it's false.
"Ain't no party like an S Club party!'" - Richard Nixon, Checkers Speech, abandoned early draft
Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017
Just so I don't have to actually look this up - it's better to choose the new door, right?Dr. Medulla wrote: ↑01 Oct 2017, 10:42amSame. His death did get me to revisit The Monty Hall Problem. Years ago, it took me a long time to truly understand why the counter-intuitive answer is the correct one, but when I looked at the whole thing again this morning, right away I gravitated back to the more obvious and wrong solution. Funny how seductive false logic can be, even when you know that it's false.
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IMCT: Inane Middle-Class Twats - Dr. M
" *sigh* it's right when they throw the penis pump out the window." -Hoy
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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017
Right. It has to do understanding that Monty knows what's behind all the doors and not being seduced by the belief that we got it right the first time. The best of illustrating this is to think of it as if there were 100 doors and Monty reveals 98 false doors, leaving your pick and one other. What is more likely, that you picked the right one out of 100 or that Monty eliminated all but the winning door? It really is a bastard of a mindfuck that goes against our intuitive sense of probabilities, but the math is right.JennyB wrote: ↑02 Oct 2017, 12:18pmJust so I don't have to actually look this up - it's better to choose the new door, right?Dr. Medulla wrote: ↑01 Oct 2017, 10:42amSame. His death did get me to revisit The Monty Hall Problem. Years ago, it took me a long time to truly understand why the counter-intuitive answer is the correct one, but when I looked at the whole thing again this morning, right away I gravitated back to the more obvious and wrong solution. Funny how seductive false logic can be, even when you know that it's false.
"Ain't no party like an S Club party!'" - Richard Nixon, Checkers Speech, abandoned early draft
Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017
Monty Hall was one magnificent bastard.Dr. Medulla wrote: ↑02 Oct 2017, 12:29pmRight. It has to do understanding that Monty knows what's behind all the doors and not being seduced by the belief that we got it right the first time. The best of illustrating this is to think of it as if there were 100 doors and Monty reveals 98 false doors, leaving your pick and one other. What is more likely, that you picked the right one out of 100 or that Monty eliminated all but the winning door? It really is a bastard of a mindfuck that goes against our intuitive sense of probabilities, but the math is right.JennyB wrote: ↑02 Oct 2017, 12:18pmJust so I don't have to actually look this up - it's better to choose the new door, right?Dr. Medulla wrote: ↑01 Oct 2017, 10:42amSame. His death did get me to revisit The Monty Hall Problem. Years ago, it took me a long time to truly understand why the counter-intuitive answer is the correct one, but when I looked at the whole thing again this morning, right away I gravitated back to the more obvious and wrong solution. Funny how seductive false logic can be, even when you know that it's false.
Got a Rake? Sure!
IMCT: Inane Middle-Class Twats - Dr. M
" *sigh* it's right when they throw the penis pump out the window." -Hoy
IMCT: Inane Middle-Class Twats - Dr. M
" *sigh* it's right when they throw the penis pump out the window." -Hoy
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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017
70 year marriage, too. She died four months before him.JennyB wrote: ↑02 Oct 2017, 12:31pmMonty Hall was one magnificent bastard.Dr. Medulla wrote: ↑02 Oct 2017, 12:29pmRight. It has to do understanding that Monty knows what's behind all the doors and not being seduced by the belief that we got it right the first time. The best of illustrating this is to think of it as if there were 100 doors and Monty reveals 98 false doors, leaving your pick and one other. What is more likely, that you picked the right one out of 100 or that Monty eliminated all but the winning door? It really is a bastard of a mindfuck that goes against our intuitive sense of probabilities, but the math is right.JennyB wrote: ↑02 Oct 2017, 12:18pmJust so I don't have to actually look this up - it's better to choose the new door, right?Dr. Medulla wrote: ↑01 Oct 2017, 10:42amSame. His death did get me to revisit The Monty Hall Problem. Years ago, it took me a long time to truly understand why the counter-intuitive answer is the correct one, but when I looked at the whole thing again this morning, right away I gravitated back to the more obvious and wrong solution. Funny how seductive false logic can be, even when you know that it's false.
"Ain't no party like an S Club party!'" - Richard Nixon, Checkers Speech, abandoned early draft
Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017
Awww...that's really sweet.Dr. Medulla wrote: ↑02 Oct 2017, 12:33pm70 year marriage, too. She died four months before him.JennyB wrote: ↑02 Oct 2017, 12:31pmMonty Hall was one magnificent bastard.Dr. Medulla wrote: ↑02 Oct 2017, 12:29pmRight. It has to do understanding that Monty knows what's behind all the doors and not being seduced by the belief that we got it right the first time. The best of illustrating this is to think of it as if there were 100 doors and Monty reveals 98 false doors, leaving your pick and one other. What is more likely, that you picked the right one out of 100 or that Monty eliminated all but the winning door? It really is a bastard of a mindfuck that goes against our intuitive sense of probabilities, but the math is right.JennyB wrote: ↑02 Oct 2017, 12:18pmJust so I don't have to actually look this up - it's better to choose the new door, right?Dr. Medulla wrote: ↑01 Oct 2017, 10:42am
Same. His death did get me to revisit The Monty Hall Problem. Years ago, it took me a long time to truly understand why the counter-intuitive answer is the correct one, but when I looked at the whole thing again this morning, right away I gravitated back to the more obvious and wrong solution. Funny how seductive false logic can be, even when you know that it's false.
Got a Rake? Sure!
IMCT: Inane Middle-Class Twats - Dr. M
" *sigh* it's right when they throw the penis pump out the window." -Hoy
IMCT: Inane Middle-Class Twats - Dr. M
" *sigh* it's right when they throw the penis pump out the window." -Hoy
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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017
Tom Petty is in trouble, massive heart attack. This is a bad day all about.
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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017
BostonBeaneater wrote: ↑02 Oct 2017, 3:38pmTom Petty is in trouble, massive heart attack. This is a bad day all about.
He’s gone.
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Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017
It's official: he backed down.BostonBeaneater wrote: ↑02 Oct 2017, 3:38pmTom Petty is in trouble, massive heart attack. This is a bad day all about.
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/tom-petty- ... ead-at-66/
![meh :meh:](./images/smilies/vb_undecided.gif)
Re: IMCT Celebrity Death Pool 2017
That's really sad. I wasn't a huge fan, but I liked him.
Got a Rake? Sure!
IMCT: Inane Middle-Class Twats - Dr. M
" *sigh* it's right when they throw the penis pump out the window." -Hoy
IMCT: Inane Middle-Class Twats - Dr. M
" *sigh* it's right when they throw the penis pump out the window." -Hoy